Welcome to Forex Backtest Friday, a post series where I share the backtest results of the market tendencies I investigate.

This week, we'll be taking a look at the "best technical indicator in Forex", according to this article from Babypips. In it, the author says the best indicator is the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo.

If you're not familiar with Ichimoku,

  • Tenkan Sen = Average of the highest high and lowest low over last 9 periods
  • Kijun Sen = Average of the highest high and lowest low over last 26 periods

In the article, the author backtested the crossing of the Kijun Sen by the Tenkan Sen on the EUR/USD daily chart, resulting in 53 trades and a 30.34% profit over 5 years:

ichimoku kinko hyo backtest

In my opinion, 53 trades is too small a sample size... and given that the largest number of test trades is 128 (for the Parabolic SAR), I'm guessing these backtests were done manually. If this is the case then there's a good